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TOL
Volume: 57

Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Toll Brothers (TOL) Analyst Ratings

Based on 17 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 35%
Buy 41%
Hold 18%
Sell 6%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Toll Brothers is well-positioned for growth with its high-income buyer demographic and emphasis on quick move-in homes. The company has been expanding its price points and offering ancillary services, indicating potential growth in earnings. Its recent quarterly results and updated guidance exceeded expectations and the appointment of a new CEO may bring a fresh perspective and drive future profitability. However, potential risks include higher mortgage rates, weaker economic conditions, and increased material and labor costs, which could impact demand and margins. Despite these risks, TOL's low exposure to finished spec homes and potential for increased incentives suggest a reasonable bull case for shares in the $220 range.

Bears say

Toll Brothers is facing several risks in the current economic and housing market environment, including macroeconomic uncertainties, potential decreases in high-end consumer confidence, and a reliance on wealth-driven, discretionary home purchases from move-up and active adult homeowners. Despite its strategic shift towards more spec homes, its elevated gross margin, and strong leverage profile, Toll Brothers' stock may face pressure if demand weakens due to market conditions or a prolonged decline in the stock market. Additionally, their current Q1 sales pace and gross margin estimates may be conservative and could potentially improve given recent positive commentary from management and the strength of their market mix and product offerings. However, our PT of $177, based on a 14x multiple on FY26 EPS and a 1.9x multiple on FY26 BVPS, is above the 10-year average and reflects this uncertainty and potential downside risk for Toll Brothers' stock.

Toll Brothers (TOL) has been analyzed by 17 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 35% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 41% recommend Buy, 18% suggest Holding, 6% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Toll Brothers and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Toll Brothers (TOL) Forecast

Analysts have given Toll Brothers (TOL) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 17 analysts, Toll Brothers (TOL) has a Buy consensus rating as of May 5, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $164.24, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $164.24, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Toll Brothers (TOL)

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